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Thread: Tropical Storm Watch ABC Islands

  1. #1
    Aruba since 1979
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    Tropical Storm Watch ABC Islands

    www.meteo.aw
    000
    WTNT32 KNHC 191757
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022017
    200 PM AST Mon Jun 19 2017

    ...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE
    DISTURBANCE TO DETERMINE IF IT IS A TROPICAL STORM...


    SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...8.8N 57.8W
    ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM ESE OF TRINIDAD
    ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM SE OF GRENADA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    The government of Curacao has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for that
    country.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Trinidad
    * Tobago
    * Grenada
    * Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
    * Bonaire
    * Curacao
    * Aruba

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
    hours.

    A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.

  2. #2
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    T&T is bracing for it right now. Should start to feel the effects by around midnight. Fingers, toes, eyes, teeth and tongue crossed that it alters its course and moves away from the islands.

  3. #3
    Super Moderator Jacki's Avatar
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    Oh boy....hoping right along with you vallond!
    Jacki ~ loving Aruba from NJ

  4. #4
    Senior Member GETA62's Avatar
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    06/19/2017
    Marine Forecast valid from 19/06/2017 to 20/06/2017

    Departamento Meteorologico Aruba http://www.meteo.aw

    SYNOPSIS...Potential Tropical Cyclone Two near 8.4N 54.5W 1005
    MB at 5 AM EDT moving W or 280 deg at 20 kt, with maximum
    sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO
    will move rapidly westward reaching near 9.3N 57.4W this
    afternoon with maximum sustained winds 40 kt gusts 50 kt, then
    intensify slightly to 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt by late tonight
    as it reaches just east of the southern Windward Islands near
    10.4N 61.1W. The Potential Tropical Cyclone Two will then cross
    into the SE Caribbean and begin to weaken as it reaches near 11.5N
    64.3W by early Tuesday afternoon, with maximum winds 40 kt gusts
    50 kt and continue to weaken as reaches near 12.4N 67.6W by late
    Tuesday night and eventually to a post-tropical remnant low near
    13.5N 74.5W by late Wednesday night. The remnants will continue
    westward across the remainder of the Caribbean as a tropical wave
    through Thursday. A gale warning is in effect for portions of
    the NW Caribbean through this morning. Active weather will
    continue over the NW Caribbean through at mid-week.


    WINDS : EAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 33 KT

    WEATHER : PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SHOWER; RISK OF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM

    VISIBILITY : 25 KILOMETERS

    WAVE HEIGHT : 4 TO LOCALLY 7 FEET; BECOMING 5 TO 8 FEET BY TUESDAY

    WAVE DIRECTION : FROM THE EAST

    WAVE PERIOD : 9 SECONDS; BECOMING 10 TO 12 SECONDS BY TUESDAY

    ALERT: SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION OVER OPEN WATERS...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL
    BE LIKELY POSTED BY LATE TUESDAY...EASTERLY SWELLS WILL REACH THE REGION BY TUESDAY...

  5. #5
    Aruba since 1979
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    it's name is Brett :(

    take care vallond.
    the good news is that you have a day off tomorrow.
    keep us posted.

    our weather guy here in tampa ba, said that this storm "Brett", has not had much of a chance to wind up and gain much strength.

    Quote Originally Posted by vallond View Post
    T&T is bracing for it right now. Should start to feel the effects by around midnight. Fingers, toes, eyes, teeth and tongue crossed that it alters its course and moves away from the islands.

  6. #6
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    Bret

    www.meteo.aw

    SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...10.0N 61.3W
    ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM S OF TRINIDAD
    ABOUT 150 MI...235 KM S OF GRENADA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Trinidad
    * Tobago
    * Grenada
    * Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
    * Bonaire
    * Curacao
    * Aruba

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
    hours.

    A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bret was
    located near latitude 10.0 North, longitude 61.3 West. Bret is
    moving toward the west-northwest near 23 mph (37 km/h) and is
    expected to gradually reduce its forward speed over the next 48
    hours. On the forecast track, the tropical storm is expected to
    begin moving moving away from Trinidad overnight and move near or
    along the northeast coast of Venezuela on Tuesday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Little change in strength is forecast during the next 12 to
    24 hours. A weakening trend is forecast to begin on Wednesday and
    Bret is expected to become a tropical depression by that time.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND: Tropical storm conditions have likely begun over portions of
    the warning area, along the northeastern coast of Venezuela, and
    these conditions will spread westward over the remainder of the
    warning area overnight and Tuesday.

    RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Bret is expected to produce total rain
    accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the Windward Islands and the
    eastern coast of Venezuela tonight and Tuesday.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
    Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts


  7. #7
    Senior Member act1966's Avatar
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    I'm looking at the house cameras and it looks overcast, windy and a little wet. Guess we'll see...

  8. #8
    Super Moderator Jacki's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by act1966 View Post
    I'm looking at the house cameras and it looks overcast, windy and a little wet. Guess we'll see...
    Same with LaCabana's webcam, but the sun is definitely peeking every once in a while
    Jacki ~ loving Aruba from NJ

  9. #9
    Senior Member GETA62's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by act1966 View Post
    I'm looking at the house cameras and it looks overcast, windy and a little wet. Guess we'll see...
    I am looking at the house cameras and it looks beautiful as always. It was rain yesterday morning for no more than 10 minutes and no wind increase.
    Hopefully, nothing serious will happened.

  10. #10
    Senior Member GETA62's Avatar
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    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bret was
    located near latitude 11.1 North, longitude 63.6 West. Bret is
    moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this
    general motion is expected to continue through today. On the
    forecast track, the center of the tropical storm will continue to
    move across the southeastern Caribbean Sea today.

    Surface observations from the eastern Caribbean Sea indicate that
    the maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today, and a weakening
    trend is expected to begin later today and Bret is forecast to
    become a tropical depression on Wednesday.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
    primarily to the north of the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

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